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Calling It A Lid

That’s it for the week.

See y’all Sunday morning 😀

February 12, 2021, 6:40 pmby Tyler Cralle
The Blog

Exporting A Housing Problem

Is it possible to import growth without also importing housing problems? “I can’t point to a city that has done it right.”  That’s the big question Conor Doughtry is asking over at the New York Times.

THE GOOD: In Idaho, home prices rose 20 percent in 2020, according to Zillow.  Why?  Doughtry explains for the past several years, “Idaho has been one of the fastest-growing states, with the largest share of new residents coming from California.”

THE BAD: Rising costs are great for current homeowners, but skyrocketing prices keep many from becoming first-time homeowners, “Housing costs are relative, of course, so anyone leaving Los Angeles or San Francisco will find almost any other city to have a bountiful selection of homes that seem unbelievably large and cheap. But for those tethered to the local economy, the influx of wealthier outsiders pushes housing costs further out of reach.”

THE BIPARTISAN:  This is one o the few issues where both sides of the aisle agree and amazingly they both are wrong.  “The problem is that opposition to new housing also has bipartisan agreement. Blue cities full of people who say they want a more equitable society consistently vote to push housing costs onto others. They will vote for higher taxes to fund social programs, but also make sure that whatever affordable housing does get built is built far away from them. Red suburbs full of people who say regulation should be minimal and property rights protected insist that their local governments legislate a million little rules that dictate what can be built where. What does it mean to respect property rights? In zoning fights, it gets fuzzy.”

Read More @ New York Times

 

February 12, 2021, 2:34 pmby Tyler Cralle
The Blog

More than 80% of Forbearances Are Approaching 12-Month Term

The latest loan performance data shows that as of November, the majority of active forborne loans have been in forbearance since April. (CoreLogic)

Its relatively bifurcated pattern indicates that the majority of the loans are either current (36.7%) or have missed at least 6 payments (43.2%); more than 1-in-3 (37.6%) have been in nonpayment since May and 1-in-4 (25.9%) in nonpayment since April.  It is no surprise the longer the loans stay in forbearance, the more missed payments have accumulated – as homeowners who have experienced more permanent job losses or pay and hour cuts are more likely to apply for a continued stay in forbearance. With the number of missed payments accumulating, greater challenges lay ahead for the struggling homeowners to find an affordable post-forbearance resolution.
February 12, 2021, 1:15 pmby Tyler Cralle
The Blog

Multifamily Housing Down But Not Out

Multifamily housing might be down currently, but it should stabilize by 2022 according to NAHB economists. (NAHB)

“Though the multifamily sector is performing much better than nonresidential construction, developers are facing stiff headwinds in 2021,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “Shortages and delays in obtaining building materials, rising lumber and OSB prices, labor shortages and a more ominous regulatory climate will aggravate affordability woes and delay delivery times.”
February 12, 2021, 10:13 amby Tyler Cralle
The Blog

Bidding Wars Continue

New data from Redfin shows that nationwide, 55.9% of offers for homes faced bidding wars in January (Redfin)

Pricey homes are most likely to see bidding wars, with more than 65% of homes priced between $800,000 and $1 million facing competition in January, the highest share of any price bucket. Still, the bidding-war rate is above 40% for all price ranges

 

February 12, 2021, 8:46 amby Tyler Cralle
The Blog

Good Morning, World!

☀️ Happy Friday! We are 2 Days from Valentines Day & 3 Days from Presidents Day

☕️ Lawyers representing former President Donald J. Trump will state their case on Friday and a final vote could follow as early as Saturday (New York Times), a record 47.2% of U.S. equity trading volume in January was executed outside public stock exchanges, up from 39.9% a year earlier (Wall Street Journal). and we hit 2 million vaccine doses administered in 2 days of the last week (Bloomberg)

📉 U.S. stock fu­tures edged lower, putting the S&P 500 on track to end the week with muted gains af­ter notch­ing its ninth record clos­ing high for 2021. (Wall Street Journal)

February 12, 2021, 6:36 amby Tyler Cralle

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